Potomac Phil's Weather & Political Predictions: A Look Back
2025: Shadow – Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2024: No Shadow – Early Spring; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2023: No Shadow – Early Spring; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2022: Shadow – Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2021: No Shadow – Early Spring; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2020: Shadow – Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2019: Shadow – Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2018: Shadow – Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2017: Shadow – Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2016: No Shadow – Early Spring; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2015: Shadow – Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2014: Shadow – Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2013: No Shadow – Early Spring; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
2012: Shadow – Six More Weeks of Winter; 6 More Months of Political Gridlock
Out of the 14 years of predictions:
Shadow Seen (Six More Weeks of Winter): 9 times (64.3%)
No Shadow (Early Spring): 5 times (35.7%)
6 More Months of Political Gridlock: 100%
With the 2025 prediction, winter remains the more frequent outcome, now occurring nearly two-thirds of the time. However, the trend of early spring emerging in recent years has been disrupted, as the last two years have seen alternating results. Despite occasional shifts in weather predictions, one thing remains constant—Phil’s political forecast never wavers: six more months of gridlock.
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Groundhog Day in Dupont Circle Park - Sunday, FEB 2, 2025, at 8:30 AM sharp! (Free)
It's GROUNDHOG DAY, and Potomac Phil, the National Groundhog, is ready to emerge within Dupont Circle and share his meteorological and political wisdom. The weather prophet will spill the beans on whether we're in for six more weeks of winter blues or an early springtime fiesta. Don your top hats for this peculiar spectacle, featuring DC's most interesting ritual. Complete with polka music, an abundance of coffee and pastries to keep you warm, VIP celebrities making surprise appearances, and much more, the excitement starts at the fountain in Dupont Circle. The main event—Potomac Phil's grand emergence—kicks off precisely at 8:30 AM. Remember, punctuality is key! Don't be fashionably late; otherwise, you might find yourself watching the whole ritual on Groundhog Day playback. See you there!
Groundhog Day ”POTOMAC PHIL 5K” - Sunday, FEB 2, 2025, at 7:00 AM sharp! (Free)
Want to break a sweat before Potomac Phil spills the beans on weather predictions? You're in for a treat! Our friends at November Project DC are hosting the "Potomac Phil 5K," and guess what? It traces a route in the shape of a top hat around Dupont Circle! Lace up your running shoes and join the fun at 7:00 AM on Friday, Feb 2nd, starting at Connecticut and Q St NW. Run your heart out, and then rendezvous with us in Dupont Circle Park afterward. Our Groundhog Festival will burst onto the scene that same morning at 8:30 AM sharp, boasting complimentary coffee and morning snacks to replenish your heart and soul. #JustShowUp
Groundhog Day Movie Screening - Sunday, FEB 2, 2025, at 6:30PM. (Movie tickets required)
Watch the cult classic movie, "Groundhog Day," with us and our friends @AlamoDC on Sunday, Feb 2nd at 6:30PM Get your tickets for the movie and feast that’s taking place at Alamo DC here.
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VIEW DUPONT FESTIVAL on INSTAGRAM
The history of Groundhog Day in Washington, D.C.
A preview of Groundhog Day with Potomac Phil in Dupont Circle Park
